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Coca-Cola HBC sees profit momentum continue across Europe and Africa

Coca-Cola HBC AG said profit momentum carried into its latest guidance.

The bottler forecasts further growth in organic operating profit as demand for non-alcoholic drinks remains steady across its European and African markets amid ongoing shifts in regional consumer spending patterns.

The company expects organic operating profit to grow between 7% and 10% in 2026. The forecast follows a solid performance in 2025, when organic operating profit rose 11.5%, broadly matching market expectations.

The guidance suggests the business is moving into a phase of more measured expansion after a strong year, supported by consistent consumer demand and wider geographic exposure.

Guidance aligns with market expectations

The 2026 growth range closely tracks analyst assumptions. A company-compiled poll showed analysts expect average organic operating profit growth of 9.4% next year.

By setting guidance around that level, Coca-Cola HBC signalled confidence in its ability to deliver predictable earnings growth without relying on aggressive assumptions.

The bottler’s operations span a mix of mature European markets and faster-growing African economies.

This balance allows the company to offset softer conditions in some regions with stronger consumption trends elsewhere, helping to stabilise overall profitability.

Strong base from 2025 performance

Results from 2025 provided a firm base for the new forecast.

Organic operating profit increased 11.5%, reflecting a combination of stable volumes, disciplined pricing, and product mix across its beverage portfolio.

The performance was largely in line with analyst forecasts of around 11%, reinforcing the view that trading conditions remained supportive through the year.

Revenue trends also remained steady. Annual net sales reached 11.60 billion euros, slightly above the average analyst estimate of 11.56 billion euros.

The marginal beat pointed to consistent execution rather than a one-off surge, with sales spread across regions and categories.

Regional mix supports earnings

Coca-Cola HBC’s regional footprint continues to shape its earnings profile.

In Europe, established markets provide scale and operational efficiency, while African markets offer longer-term growth potential as consumption rises.

The company’s exposure to both regions helps smooth earnings and reduce reliance on any single market.

Demand for non-alcoholic beverages has remained resilient, supporting volumes across core brands.

This steady consumption has allowed the bottler to maintain profitability even as broader economic conditions remain uneven in parts of its footprint.

Focus on continuity over acceleration

The latest forecast highlights continuity rather than a step change in strategy.

Management appears focused on sustaining the momentum built in 2025, with growth driven by demand trends and geographic expansion rather than sharp shifts in pricing or cost structures.

With guidance broadly aligned to expectations and sales holding close to forecasts, Coca-Cola HBC’s update offered few surprises.

Instead, it reinforced the picture of a bottling business delivering incremental gains through consistent execution across Europe and Africa.

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